Friday links! Why lie? edition

april-fools-day-pranks-19__605

Were it not for Valentine’s Day, April Fools’ Day would be our most resented holiday. That shit divides people. Part of the problem lies in disagreement over what constitutes a prank. Merely lying to us is A) not exactly a holiday feat and B) minimally entertaining for us, the fooled. Now, the prank depicted above: that’s a foolin’. It’s startling, efficient, and—this is important—amusing once we realize we’ve been had. It’s not just a counterfactual statement you followed with “April fool!” Mark Twain recommended the truth on the grounds that the person who tells it has less to remember. Really it’s that invention is unnecessary. Today is Friday, and what has actually happened would strain credulity even at another date. Won’t you peruse the foolish truth with me?

Continue reading

Outcry against possible refugees attracts actual refugees to Missoula

In Missoula with Trump hat, false dichotomy, and stupid shirt

In Missoula with Trump hat, false dichotomy, and stupid shirt

The exodus of refugees from Syria has forced the United States to grapple with a crisis of its own making. If we hadn’t unseated Saddam Hussein and replaced him with a weak and fractious government, ISIS probably would never have established a base of operations in northern Iraq. Without that swath of its territory, it probably wouldn’t be so tenacious in Syria. The humanitarian crisis in the Middle East is in large part a consequence of our adventurous (read: dumb) foreign policy. From that perspective, you can see the waves of refugees pouring out of Syria as a judgment on the West, or as an opportunity for us to atone by being kind to the people whose lives we basically destroyed.

Or maybe it’s a Muslim takeover! Not content to let us bomb and then restructure their societies, those bloodthirsty conquerers now want to come live with us. And you know what that means: sharia law, or just generalized rape and murder, which the Quran pretty much demands. I’m paraphrasing the letters to the editor page of the Missoulian, here. You can also find this kind of semi-polite bigotry on the Ravalli County Commission or, a couple of times in the last two months, on the steps of the Missoula County courthouse.

Back when all this nonsense started, there were no concrete plans to bring Syrian refugees to western Montana. In protesting against something that wasn’t happening, though, the protestors were so ignorant and awful they made the opposite position seem like a moral imperative. As a result of their efforts, the Missoula County Commission and various resettlement agencies have committed to bringing 100 refugees to the area next year. It’s almost as though forcing a public debate on an issue you know virtually nothing about were a bad strategy. You can read my assessment of the anti-refugee movement in this week’s column in the Missoula Independent. We’ll be back tomorrow with Friday links!

Against the Establishment, wherever we may find it

A Twitter user rails against the wrong Establishment.

A Twitter user rails against the wrong Establishment.

It’s kind of thrilling to see a Donald Trump supporter vituperate the women’s magazine The Establishment on Twitter. She has mistaken one of our most relentlessly abstract concepts for something specific and real. Can we blame her? Trump, Ted Cruz, Bernie Sanders, even Hillary Clinton—all the viable candidates for president rail against the establishment. No one can say exactly what it is, but we all hate it. So many of us have defined ourselves against the establishment that one can hardly believe it’s still established. The real estate tycoon who is the son of a real estate mogul isn’t part of it. Neither are the senators, nor even the former first lady. If the election continues on its present trajectory, the establishment won’t even include the president of the United States. So what is it? It’s the strategy that has ruled American marketing for decades.

Continue reading

Will Trump hurt Gianforte and Zinke come November?

Ryan Zinke and Teen Wolf at a 2014 Republican debate in Great Falls

Ryan Zinke and Teen Wolf at a 2014 Republican debate in Great Falls

If you write about politics, don’t try to predict the future. Every right prediction seems obvious in retrospect, and every wrong one will haunt your career, unless your dad was the editor of Commentary. The wise commentator will limit himself to expressing opinions on things that have already happened, so that when people point out his obvious stupidity, he can distract them with the claim that reasonable people can disagree about matters of opinion. I know from experience. This week, though, I have broken my own rule and prognosticated on the fortunes of Rep. Ryan Zinke and gubernatorial candidate Greg Gianforte if they appear on the same ballot as Donald Trump—or on one from which Trump is conspicuously absent.

Continue reading

Times analysis implies Clinton beat Sanders, but he won more delegates

Hillary Rodham Clinton Signs Copies Of Her Book 'Hard Choices' In New York

As regular readers of this blog know, I really like the New York Times. I think it’s by far the best newspaper in the country, and I am thrilled to write for them whenever they hire me. But that doesn’t mean the Times is perfect. Last week, news editors came under fire for substantially altering a story about Sanders’s legislative record after it was published online—changing its headline, in the process, from “Bernie Sanders Scored Victories for Years via Legislative Side Doors” to “Via Legislative Side Doors, Bernie Sanders Won Modest Victories.” Today, the Times seems to have reframed another Sanders victory in its analysis of last night’s Democratic primaries. Hillary Clinton won in Arizona, while Sanders won in Idaho and Utah, giving him 67 delegates to her 51. But Jonathan Martin’s analysis does not report delegate totals and strongly implies that Clinton won.

Continue reading